The next step in understanding the vicious-circle relationship between income and expenditure is to look at the link from income to consumption. Common-sense suggests that there is a link -- the more income people have, the more they are willing to spend on consumption -- and Keynes certainly thought there was. Keynes suggested that there was a "psychological law" that any increase in income would result in an increase in consumption, but that the increase in consumption would be in less than a one-to-one proportion. In other words, if income increases by a dollar, consumption would increase by a fraction of a dollar. This fraction is the marginal propensity to consume.
1. C = a + bY
where C is the consumption expenditure, (in billions of 1992 dollars, for example), Y the national income (in the same units) and a and b are constants. The constant b is the Marginal Propensity to Consume. An example with specific numbers would be
2. C = 200 + .9Y
where a would be 200 billion dollars and b would be .9. In this example, then, the Marginal Propensity to Consume is .9. This equation simply tells us (in ordinary language) that to get a first approximation to national consumption figures, we may multiply national income by nine-tenths and add 200 million dollars.
Remember, this is only an illustrative example! to get a reliable approximation, we would need to use some statistical methods and some real numbers.
Copyright